Fertility Intentions in Canada: Change or No Change?

Barry Edmonston, Sharon M. Lee, Zheng Wu


This paper describes trends in fertility intentions in Canada based on an
analysis of data from four national household surveys -- General Social
Surveys in 1990, 1995, 2001, and 2006. The study finds that the fertility
intentions of Canadian women have been relatively stable for the past 16
years, moving within a narrow range of 2.11 to 2.29 children. Modest
decreases due to changes in population composition – and not changes
in the relationship between various explanatory variables and intended
fertility – have largely been responsible for the modest overall decrease
of 0.08 children in intended fertility between 1990 and 2006.

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