The Probabilistic Life Table and Its Applications to Canada
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.25336/P65W28Keywords:
life table, probabilistic life table, survival uncertainty, significance testAbstract
Traditionally, life-table variables are assigned certain values at all ages, and hence are treated as deterministic. But the survival process of the hypothetic cohort is uncertain; hence, the nature of life tables is probabilistic. This paper introduces a newly developed method to produce the probabilistic life table, in which each variable has a probability distribution rather than a sample value, at all ages except the first one. Applying the probabilistic life table to Canada, it concludes
that the recent changes in mortality are statistically significant mostly at old ages, which cannot be estimated by the traditional life table.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2019 Nan Li
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
The following copyright statement applies to content published in Volumes 1 - 45 of Canadian Studies in Population.
Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).